Global Macro Analysis

The latest financial, market & economic analysis

Japan’s economic outlook for Q4 2024

The BOJ may hike rates in Q4, but political changes could push it to December

7 Oct 2024, 12:23
Japan’s economic outlook for Q4 2024

EU economic outlook for Q4 2024

The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps in December, emphasizing "strategic patience" amid inflation risks and weak economic growth. Future cuts will depend on economic conditions.

7 Oct 2024, 10:00
EU economic outlook for Q4 2024

The US Q4 outlook

New era of stimulative policies in the US

7 Oct 2024, 08:36
The US Q4 outlook

Commodities in Q4: Key Market Drivers & Risks

Gold, oil, and agricultural staples like cotton, coffee, and cocoa experience price swings due to central bank policies, supply imbalances, and severe weather, with more volatility expected in Q4

7 Oct 2024, 07:59
Commodities in Q4: Key Market Drivers & Risks

Bitcoin Q4 outlook

Can Bitcoin reach $100K in this bullish cycle?

7 Oct 2024, 07:52
Bitcoin Q4 outlook

China's economy Q4 outlook

The yuan has gained from the Fed's easing cycle, but potential PBOC rate cuts in Q4 2024 may introduce downward pressure.

7 Oct 2024, 07:21
China's economy Q4 outlook

Gold Market Projections for Q3 – Key Drivers

Can gold return to record levels in Q3?

24 Jul 2024, 12:31
Gold Market Projections for Q3 – Key Drivers

Oil Q3 outlook

Will global supply risks continue to offset oil demand concerns in Q3?

24 Jul 2024, 11:28
Oil Q3 outlook

Will the Fed signal an impending policy change at this year's Jackson Hole Symposium?

As Powell's latest Monetary Policy Testimony alludes for the first time to concerns on the FOMC about the dangers of keeping monetary policy tight for too long, is this a signal that he is preparing to use this year's Symposium as on opportunity to put the market on notice for a first interest rate cut?

10 Jul 2024, 12:32
Will the Fed signal an impending policy change at this year's Jackson Hole Symposium?

Potential Market Reactions to the UK General Election

The upcoming July 4 elections in the UK, which could end a 14-year Conservative rule, are expected to influence the markets

3 Jul 2024, 07:12
Potential Market Reactions to the UK General Election