Trade Reviews

Professional and technical analysis on products and past trades

Fed's Kevin Warsh keeps door open to further rate hikes; Nasdaq retreats

The Nasdaq fell by 0.70% as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh elevated expectations of a rate hike in September, driving US Treasury yields and the US dollar higher.

Week ahead: bond markets took control. Now jobs data gets the final say

The market spent this week chasing a different driver almost every day. Inflation refused to cool enough for the Federal Reserve to relax, Europe moved closer to another rate hike, and oil stopped trading purely on war headlines. By Friday, one thing became clear. Markets have entered a phase where bond markets are setting the pace, while next week's labour-market data could decide whether central banks keep tightening or finally gain room to wait.

German consumer confidence improves on strong income expectations; Euro holds steady

German consumer confidence has improved, driven by rising income expectations. Although the index remains in negative territory, the result signals a potential economic recovery while the Euro holds steady.

AUD/USD advances as inflation exceeds market expectations

The AUD/USD pair rose to 0.7174 after Australian inflation decelerated less than expected to 3.5%.

WTI Oil outlook: is the Hormuz risk Premium finally fading?

For months, traders were focused on how much supply could disappear if the Strait of Hormuz remained locked in crisis. Now the conversation is shifting toward how much of that fear was already priced into crude. Brent has pulled back from recent highs as diplomatic progress around Hormuz, a softer U.S. inventory picture and a more measured sanctions approach from Washington have started changing expectations. None of those developments has solved the broader conflict with Iran.

German Ifo business climate improves strongly; Euro advances

Germany's Ifo Business Climate Index surged to 88.8 points in August 2026, outperforming market expectations and prompting a modest appreciation in the euro as both business expectations and current economic conditions improved significantly.

US-Canada bilateral tariffs weigh on the Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar depreciated by 0.57% against the US dollar following bilateral US-Canada tariff threats.

Silver’s next move may depend on the $70 breakout

The comparison with 2011 is not about repeating the same price action. It is about the same question returning to the market: what happens when confidence in Washington's debt strategy begins to weaken? That question carries more weight today than it did fifteen years ago. U.S. debt has climbed from roughly $14.8 trillion in 2011 to more than $40 trillion, and policymakers are once again looking for ways to ease pressure on government borrowing costs.

UK retail sales slow sharply, but GBP/USD moves higher

The GBP/USD currency pair advanced despite disappointing UK retail sales data, supported primarily by broad-based weakness in the US dollar tied to domestic debt concerns.

Gold next catalyst may be Washington's bond market playbook

The latest Treasury move is drawing comparisons with one of the most unusual chapters in U.S. financial history. During 1942-1951, Washington kept long-term government bond yields capped at 2.5% to make World War II borrowing more affordable. Today's policy is not a formal yield cap, but the logic looks familiar. Instead of fixing yields outright, the Treasury has doubled its buybacks of 10- to 30-year bonds, trying to ease borrowing costs as federal debt climbs beyond $40 trillion.